Community Medicine (PSM) · Epidemiology (Study Designs, Bias, Systematic Review, Measures of Association)

A systematic review meta-analysis on antihypertensive therapy shows significant heterogeneity (I² = 78%, p < 0.001). The MOST appropriate statistical model to pool the effect estimates is:

  • A Fixed-effects model, as it is more conservative
  • B Random-effects model, as it accounts for between-study variance
  • C Mantel-Haenszel method, as it requires no assumptions about heterogeneity
  • D Meta-regression, which directly corrects heterogeneity before pooling
Correct answer: B. Random-effects model, as it accounts for between-study variance

Explanation

An I² of 78% indicates substantial heterogeneity among studies. The random-effects model (DerSimonian-Laird) incorporates between-study variance (tau²) in addition to within-study variance, providing wider confidence intervals that better reflect true uncertainty when studies differ in populations, interventions, or outcomes. The fixed-effects model assumes all studies estimate one true common effect — inappropriate when heterogeneity is high. Meta-regression explores sources of heterogeneity but does not replace the choice of pooling model.

Reference: Park's Textbook of Preventive and Social Medicine, 27th ed.

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