A clinical trial tests whether a new drug lowers blood pressure compared to placebo. The researchers hypothesize specifically that the drug will reduce systolic BP. The appropriate test should be:
- A Two-tailed test, because the drug could theoretically increase BP
- B One-tailed test, because the sample size is usually small
- C Two-tailed test, as regulatory agencies mandate two-tailed testing in all trials
- D One-tailed test, because the hypothesis predicts a specific direction of effect ✓
Correct answer: D. One-tailed test, because the hypothesis predicts a specific direction of effect
Explanation
When the research hypothesis predicts a specific direction (reduction in BP, not just any difference), a one-tailed test is statistically appropriate. Two-tailed tests are used when differences in either direction are considered meaningful. However, in practice, regulatory agencies often prefer two-tailed tests to be conservative.
Reference: Mahajan's Methods in Biostatistics, 9th ed.
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