A study finds p = 0.03 for an association between hypertension and stroke. The 95% confidence interval for the relative risk is 1.4 to 5.2. Which of the following statements is CORRECT?
- A There is a 97% probability that hypertension causes stroke
- B The result would not be statistically significant at α = 0.05
- C The confidence interval means the true RR is definitely between 1.4 and 5.2
- D The result is statistically significant and the null value (1.0) is excluded from the CI ✓
Explanation
A p-value less than 0.05 indicates statistical significance, and a 95% CI for relative risk that does not include 1.0 (the null value) confirms that the association is statistically significant. The CI represents the range within which we are 95% confident the true population parameter lies — it does not guarantee the true value lies within that range with certainty.
Reference: Park's Textbook of Preventive and Social Medicine, 27th ed.
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